Market News: Argentine President Milei met with Rio Tinto CEO Meloni in Rome.It is reported that the European Central Bank is considering cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the next two meetings. According to informed sources, as the inflation rate stabilizes at the target of 2% and economic growth is sluggish, ECB officials plan to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in January, and there may be another one in March. People familiar with the matter said that as long as the economic development meets current expectations, gradually reducing the borrowing cost is the most appropriate path. They believe that cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at a time in an emergency is still an option, but this move may convey an unexpected sense of urgency. According to people familiar with the matter, officials have not yet made any decision, and every meeting will be evaluated based on all available information, even after March. They stressed that once the situation becomes clearer after Trump takes office in January, the policy inclination of the central bank may change.Institution: The European Central Bank is paying attention to the weakness of the euro. The European Central Bank said yesterday that inflation is slowing down and hinted that it will cut interest rates again. However, Joost Van Leenders, an analyst at Van Lanschot kemen, said in a report that the European Central Bank will pay close attention to the recent weakness of the euro. As the import price rises, a weak currency may push up inflation. The senior investment strategist said that since the current deposit interest rate in the euro zone is 3% and the neutral interest rate is around 2%, the European Central Bank will cut interest rates at least four times. However, European Central Bank President Lagarde stressed that the inflation risk is two-sided.
Trump: For me, the stock market is everything. US President-elect Trump rang the opening bell on the new york Stock Exchange on Thursday, and he was named the person of the year in 2024 by Time magazine. After ringing the bell, Trump said in an interview, "If you don't produce (goods) here (in the United States), you have to pay 21% tax. If you produce here, we will try to reduce the tax rate to 15%. You must produce your products in the United States. " Trump also attributed the recent rise in the stock market to his defeat of Biden (not Harris). "I have always said that for me, the stock market is everything. This is very important. " He also revealed that after returning to the White House, he will establish closer ties with some of the richest and most influential people.International oil prices fell on the 12th. As of the close of the day, the light crude oil futures price for January delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by 27 cents to close at 70.02 US dollars per barrel, a decrease of 0.38%. London Brent crude oil futures for February delivery in 2025 fell 11 cents to close at $73.41 a barrel, a decrease of 0.15%.Guoyuan Securities: A special dividend plan was drawn up and announced by Guoyuan Securities. On December 13, 2024, the company held the 20th meeting of the 10th Board of Directors and the 11th meeting of the 10th Board of Supervisors, at which the Proposal on Special Dividend Plan was reviewed and approved. As of September 30, 2024, the accumulated undistributed profit of the company was 7.743 billion yuan, and the accumulated distributable profit of the parent company was 5.262 billion yuan. In order to enhance the investor's sense of gain and improve the investor's return level, the company has drawn up a special dividend plan: based on the existing total share capital of 4.364 billion shares, a cash dividend of 0.60 yuan will be distributed to all shareholders for every 10 shares, and a total cash dividend of 262 million yuan will be distributed. No bonus shares will be distributed, and capital will not be increased from the provident fund.
American natural gas futures fell more than 3.00% in the day and are now reported at $3.351/million British heat.The Canadian dollar fell to 1.4210, the lowest since April 2020.Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14